UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2021
Lightweight
VS
71%
Puelles
29%
Gruetzemacher
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Puelles
Puelles is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gruetzemacher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Puelles's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gruetzemacher has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
21.1
45.5
Performance Avg
38.1
39
Quality of Victory
35
78
Momentum Score
41
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
2.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
59%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
1
Body
9
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance9
2Clinch5
2Ground3
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
41
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Puelles
Gruetzemacher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
PuellesGruetzemacher
Strike Zones
Puelles
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGruetzemacher
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Puelles targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the body (53% of attacks) — Puelles absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Puelles
RND
Gruetzemacher
0/0R00/0
Puelles · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Gruetzemacher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Puelles · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Sub · R3
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Gruetzemacher · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R3
Davi RamosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12