UFC 49: Unfinished Business
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2004
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Eilers
59%
Kyle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kyle
This is a genuine toss-up — Eilers at 41% vs Kyle at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eilers's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Eilers
Kyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
Reach
77"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eilers
Kyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
24.3
46.0
Performance Avg
62.7
60
Quality of Victory
60
36
Momentum Score
78
Eilers
Kyle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
4.0
31%
Strike Accuracy
65%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch7
1Ground0
Eilers
Kyle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Eilers
Kyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
78
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/36 fights
Eilers
Kyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Eilers
Kyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eilers
Kyle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
EilersKyle
Strike Zones
Eilers
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedKyle
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eilers targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kyle absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kyle targets the body (71% of attacks) — Eilers absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eilers
RND
Kyle
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Eilers · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Kyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Eilers · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Brandon VeraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R1
Paul BuentelloRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
W · KO · R1
Mike KyleRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
Kyle · Last 3
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · KO · R1
Justin EilersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R1
Wes SimsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04