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UFC 49: Unfinished Business
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2004
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Eilers
59%
Kyle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:14
JE
Justin Eilers
"The Hammer"
197
6'1"Orthodox48 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 17
MK
Mike Kyle
"MAK"
2214
Knockout Artist46 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 24
★ Official Result
Justin EilerswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:14
def. Mike Kyle · UFC 49: Unfinished Business

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kyle
Actual result
Eilers wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Eilers at 41% vs Kyle at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Eilers's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EilersKyle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Eilers
Kyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
Reach
77"
48
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eilers
Kyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
24.3
46.0
Performance Avg
62.7
60
Quality of Victory
60
36
Momentum Score
78
Eilers
Kyle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
4.0
31%
Strike Accuracy
65%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch7
1Ground0
Eilers
Kyle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Eilers
Kyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
78
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
4/26 fights
Chin rating based on
3/36 fights
Eilers
Kyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Eilers
Kyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Eilers
Kyle
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume0.5 / 1.3Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 9.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
Eilers
Strike Zones
Kyle
Eilers
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD5BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Kyle
Attacking
1HEAD5BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Eilers targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kyle absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kyle targets the body (71% of attacks) — Eilers absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Eilers
RND
Kyle
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Eilers · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0105.0W1.5L2.2L1.5L2004-082005-022005-062006-02
WinLossTrend

Kyle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W1.5L5.0W2004-042004-082005-02
WinLossTrend

Eilers · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Brandon VeraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R1
Paul BuentelloRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
W · KO · R1
Mike KyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08

Kyle · Last 3

W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · KO · R1
Justin EilersRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R1
Wes SimsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 47: It's On! · 2004-04

News & Media

Justin Eilers · Mike Kyle
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