METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
31%
Oki
69%
Sousa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:12
★ Official Result
Manoel SousawinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:12
def. Bolaji Oki · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sousa
→
Actual result
Sousa wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Sousa holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Oki has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sousa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Oki's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OkiSousa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oki
Sousa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
30
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oki
Sousa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.1
69.6
31.0
Performance Avg
62.5
25
Quality of Victory
38
40
Momentum Score
100
Oki
Sousa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
7.0
/ 10
1.2
Style: Pressure
6.5
8.8
Style: Volume
6.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
33
8
Body
10
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
31Distance46
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Oki
Sousa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oki
Sousa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Oki
Sousa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Oki
Sousa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oki
Sousa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
OkiSousa
Strike Zones
Oki
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedSousa
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oki targets the head (56% of attacks) — Sousa absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Sousa targets the head (69% of attacks) — Oki absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oki
RND
Sousa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oki · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Manoel SousaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Mason JonesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael Aswell Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Sousa · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Richie MirandaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
W · KO · R3
Bolaji OkiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03