UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
Glasgow, United Kingdom
18 Jul 2015
Lightweight
VS
62%
Duffy
38%
Jorge
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Duffy
Duffy holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Jorge has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Duffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Jorge has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Duffy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Duffy
Jorge
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
73"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duffy
Jorge
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
13.5
49.0
Performance Avg
35.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
50
Duffy
Jorge
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.8
36%
Strike Accuracy
64%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
2
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance4
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Duffy
Jorge
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duffy
Jorge
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/34 fights
Duffy
Jorge
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Duffy
Jorge
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duffy
Jorge
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
DuffyJorge
Strike Zones
Duffy
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJorge
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duffy targets the head (63% of attacks) — Jorge absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Jorge targets the head (57% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duffy
RND
Jorge
0/0R00/0
Duffy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Jorge · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Duffy · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
James VickRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Mitch ClarkeRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
Jorge · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Joe DuffyRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh ShockleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo DammRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · Dec · R3
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09