UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Middleweight
VS
48%
MacDonald
52%
Salter
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Salter
This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 48% vs Salter at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
MacDonald has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Salter has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
MacDonald
Salter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
74"
50
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
MacDonald
Salter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
18.9
48.8
Performance Avg
49.3
53
Quality of Victory
60
52
Momentum Score
43
MacDonald
Salter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
29%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
2
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch2
0Ground0
MacDonald
Salter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Salter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/41 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
MacDonald
Salter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
MacDonald
Salter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Salter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MacDonaldSalter
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSalter
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the body (40% of attacks) — Salter absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Salter targets the head (67% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Salter
0/0R00/0
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Salter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
MacDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
Salter · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Dan MillerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R3
Gerald HarrisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
