METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Lightweight
VS
47%
Dawson
53%
Torres
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:25
★ Official Result
Manuel TorreswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:25
def. Grant Dawson · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Torres
→
Actual result
Torres wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dawson at 47% vs Torres at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Torres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Dawson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Torres has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DawsonTorres
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dawson
Torres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
32
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Switch
Dawson
Torres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.1
72.5
57.5
Performance Avg
63.9
39
Quality of Victory
59
100
Momentum Score
100
Dawson
Torres
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
9.4
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
9.1
5.0
Style: Volume
1.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
2
Body
4
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Dawson
Torres
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dawson
Torres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Dawson
Torres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Dawson
Torres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawson
Torres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.4
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
DawsonTorres
Strike Zones
Dawson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTorres
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dawson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Torres absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Torres targets the head (56% of attacks) — Dawson absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawson
RND
Torres
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dawson · Last 5
Upcoming
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