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UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Overeem
53%
Hunt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 1:44
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
MH
Mark Hunt
"Super Samoan"
13 – 14
Knockout Artist3-fight slide52 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 21
β˜… Official Result
Alistair OvereemwinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 1:44
def. Mark Hunt Β· UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hunt
β†’
Actual result
Overeem wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Overeem at 47% vs Hunt at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hunt has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
OvereemHunt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Overeem
Hunt
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'10"
80"+
Reach
72"
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Hunt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
20.6
55.0
Performance Avg
53.0
52
Quality of Victory
55
56
Momentum Score
91
Overeem
Hunt
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.0
73%
Strike Accuracy
50%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
4
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Overeem
Hunt
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Overeem
Hunt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Overeem
Hunt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
56
91
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R4
L Β· KO Β· R3
Overeem
Hunt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
88%
9
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Hunt
Striking8.7 / 9.8Volume3.2 / 2.0Grappling0.6 / 0.3Wrestling0.4 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Overeem
Strike Zones
Hunt
Overeem
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Hunt
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (44% of attacks) β€” Hunt absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Hunt targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Overeem absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Hunt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Overeem Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Hunt Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W4.0L5.1W2.1L5.1L5.0W5.0W4.0L6.6W6.4L1.5L5.5L2010-092013-032015-052017-062018-12
WinLossTrend

Overeem Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov Β· 2021-02
W Β· KO Β· R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai Β· 2020-09
W Β· KO Β· R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris Β· 2020-05
L Β· KO Β· R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik Β· 2019-12
W Β· KO Β· R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik Β· 2019-04

Hunt Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Justin WillisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa Β· 2018-12
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik Β· 2018-09
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold Β· 2018-02
W Β· KO Β· R4
Derrick LewisRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt Β· 2017-06
L Β· KO Β· R3
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 Β· 2017-03

News & Media

Alistair Overeem Β· Mark Hunt
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