UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Overeem
53%
Hunt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:44
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
MH
Mark Hunt
"Super Samoan"
13 – 14
Knockout Artist3-fight slide52 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hunt

This is a genuine toss-up — Overeem at 47% vs Hunt at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hunt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Hunt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'10"
80"+
Reach
72"
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Hunt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
20.6
55.0
Performance Avg
53.0
52
Quality of Victory
55
56
Momentum Score
91
Overeem
Hunt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
73%
Strike Accuracy
50%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
4
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Overeem
Hunt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Overeem
Hunt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Overeem
Hunt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
91
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R3
Overeem
Hunt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
88%
9
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Hunt
Striking8.7 / 9.8Volume3.2 / 2.0Grappling0.6 / 0.3Wrestling0.4 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.8
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Overeem
Strike Zones
Hunt
Overeem
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Hunt
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (44% of attacks) — Hunt absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Hunt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Hunt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Hunt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0101.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5W4.0L5.1W2.1L5.1L5.0W5.0W4.0L6.6W6.4L1.5L5.5L2010-092013-032015-052017-062018-12
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Hunt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Justin WillisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R4
Derrick LewisRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · KO · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Mark Hunt
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