UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
Saitama, Japan
2 Mar 2013
Middleweight
VS
27%
Fukuda
73%
Tavares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RF
Riki Fukuda
24 – 9
6'0"73" reachSouthpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
Brad
Brad Tavares
21 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tavares

Tavares is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Fukuda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Fukuda
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
45
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fukuda
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
35.6
31.0
Performance Avg
40.1
25
Quality of Victory
29
55
Momentum Score
49
Fukuda
Tavares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
37
5
Body
4
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
32Distance42
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Fukuda
Tavares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fukuda
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/33 fights
Chin rating based on
29/34 fights
Fukuda
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fukuda
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
13%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fukuda
Tavares
Striking0.8 / 2.4Volume8.8 / 8.1Grappling2.4 / 2.1Wrestling1.7 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.2 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Fukuda
Strike Zones
Tavares
Fukuda
Attacking
20HEAD5BODY8LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD4BODY3LEGS44 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
37HEAD4BODY3LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD5BODY8LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fukuda targets the head (61% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (84% of attacks) — Fukuda absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fukuda
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0

Fukuda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2011-022012-022012-072012-112013-03
WinLossTrend

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.4L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.9L2.9L4.5W4.5W7.4L2.8L5.3W5.6L6.6L5.6W4.9L6.3L2010-062014-012017-102023-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Fukuda · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Tom DeBlassRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Nick RingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02

Tavares · Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

News & Media

Riki Fukuda · Brad Tavares
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