UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Jan 2013
Light Heavyweight
VS
12%
Prado
88%
Alcantara
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:39
WP
Wagner Prado
"Caldeirao"
12 – 3
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
IA
Ildemar Alcantara
"Marajo"
21 – 11
Well-Rounded43 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alcantara

Alcantara is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Alcantara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Prado
Alcantara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+78"
39+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Prado
Alcantara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
16.0
0.0
Performance Avg
41.5
0
Quality of Victory
31
0
Momentum Score
53
Prado
Alcantara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.7
22%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Prado
Alcantara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Prado
Alcantara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/32 fights
Prado
Alcantara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Prado
Alcantara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Prado
Alcantara
Striking0.0 / 1.1Volume0.0 / 7.1Grappling0.0 / 3.8Wrestling0.0 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure0.0 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Prado
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Prado
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Alcantara
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Prado targets the head (75% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Alcantara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prado absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Prado
RND
Alcantara
0/0R00/0

Prado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0102.8L2.8L2012-102013-01
WinLossTrend

Alcantara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2013-012013-102014-072015-07
WinLossTrend

Prado · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
L · Sub · R2
Phil DavisRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
Upcoming
Phil Davis
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08

Alcantara · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Richardson MoreiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Igor AraujoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

News & Media

Wagner Prado · Ildemar Alcantara
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