METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Mexico City, Mexico
13 Jun 2015
Bantamweight
VS
68%
Perez
32%
Williams
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:23
★ Official Result
Patrick WilliamswinsSubmissionR1 · 0:23
def. Alejandro Perez · UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
→
Actual result
Williams wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Perez holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Williams has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Perez throws more volume but Williams connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Perez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Williams has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PerezWilliams
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Perez
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+73"
36+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.4
17.0
56.3
Performance Avg
42.4
49
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Perez
Williams
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.0
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Perez
Williams
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Perez
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Perez
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Williams
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
PerezWilliams
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWilliams
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (100% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Sub · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Song YadongRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Eddie WinelandRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Williams · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Luke SandersRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Tom DuquesnoyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Sub · R1
Alejandro PerezRating 5Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Chris BealRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04