UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Barry
55%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Barry at 45% vs Johnson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barry's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barry
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+82"
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barry
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
23.3
47.3
Performance Avg
56.0
51
Quality of Victory
60
85
Momentum Score
79
Barry
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
5.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
64%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
32
1
Body
6
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance2
5Clinch37
1Ground0
Barry
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Barry
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Barry
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Barry
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barry
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BarryJohnson
Strike Zones
Barry
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barry targets the head (73% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (82% of attacks) — Barry absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barry
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Barry · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · KO · R2
Shane del RosarioRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Christian MorecraftRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
Johnson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brendan SchaubRating 5.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Joey BeltranRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01