METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Porto Alegre, Brazil
22 Feb 2015
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Alcantara
45%
Saenz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Frankie SaenzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Iuri Alcantara · UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Saenz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 55% vs Saenz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alcantara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Saenz has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlcantaraSaenz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alcantara
Saenz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
66"
46
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Saenz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
13.7
48.0
Performance Avg
35.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
75
Alcantara
Saenz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
1.5
5.2
Style: Volume
9.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
2
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance0
0Clinch10
2Ground3
Alcantara
Saenz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alcantara
Saenz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Alcantara
Saenz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
75
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Saenz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Saenz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
AlcantaraSaenz
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSaenz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (75% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Saenz targets the body (38% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Saenz
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersSubmission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Saenz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Henry BrionesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Augusto MendesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01