UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
22 May 2021
Featherweight
VS
51%
Culibao
49%
Nuerdanbieke
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josh
Josh Culibao
"Kuya"
11 – 4
5'10"73" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Shayilan
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
"Wolverine"
39 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Culibao

This is a genuine toss-up — Culibao at 51% vs Nuerdanbieke at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Culibao throws more volume but Nuerdanbieke connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Nuerdanbieke has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.0
40.0
37.0
Performance Avg
42.0
33
Quality of Victory
37
75
Momentum Score
51
Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
0
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/51 fights
Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Culibao
Nuerdanbieke
Striking0.9 / 4.3Volume6.2 / 6.3Grappling4.3 / 1.6Wrestling3.0 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Culibao
Strike Zones
Nuerdanbieke
Culibao
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY5LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Nuerdanbieke
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY5LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Culibao targets the head (76% of attacks) — Nuerdanbieke absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Nuerdanbieke targets the head (83% of attacks) — Culibao absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Culibao
RND
Nuerdanbieke
0/0R00/0

Culibao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.0L4.8W4.7W5.8W7.0L6.8L5.6L2020-022022-062023-072024-08
WinLossTrend

Nuerdanbieke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.8L4.5W4.5W5.0W4.6L5.2L2021-052021-112022-062022-112023-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Culibao · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 5.6
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 6.8
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06

Nuerdanbieke · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Steve GarciaRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Darrick MinnerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SorianoRating 4.5
Decision
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News & Media

Josh Culibao · Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
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