METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
72%
Lima
28%
Hester
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:35
★ Official Result
Marcos Rogerio de LimawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:35
def. Clint Hester · UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lima
→
Actual result
Lima wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lima is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lima has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Lima's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hester has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LimaHester
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lima
Hester
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+77"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lima
Hester
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.4
15.3
53.8
Performance Avg
42.0
49
Quality of Victory
32
59
Momentum Score
61
Lima
Hester
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
3.5
3.4
Style: Volume
5.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
0
1
Body
0
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance0
0Clinch0
22Ground0
Lima
Hester
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lima
Hester
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Lima
Hester
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
61
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lima
Hester
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Hester
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
LimaHester
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHester
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the head (83% of attacks) — Hester absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Hester
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Hester · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · KO · R2
Vitor MirandaKO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Braga NetoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Andy EnzDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02