UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Bantamweight
VS
40%
Johns
60%
Castaneda
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:38
Miles
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
15 – 5
5'7"68" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
John
John Castaneda
"Sexi Mexi"
21 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSwitch71" reach5'6"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Castaneda

Castaneda holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Johns has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Castaneda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johns
Castaneda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+71"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Johns
Castaneda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
51.0
41.8
Performance Avg
43.2
33
Quality of Victory
39
10
Momentum Score
71
Johns
Castaneda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance10
1Clinch5
0Ground2
Johns
Castaneda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Castaneda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/29 fights
Johns
Castaneda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johns
Castaneda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johns
Castaneda
Striking4.4 / 3.5Volume6.4 / 5.0Grappling1.6 / 3.2Wrestling1.1 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Johns
Strike Zones
Castaneda
Johns
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Castaneda
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (100% of attacks) — Castaneda absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Castaneda targets the head (82% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johns
RND
Castaneda
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W3.8L5.5W5.5W4.8L4.5W4.7W4.7W6.5L6.4L4.0L2019-092021-082024-032025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Castaneda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.3L5.0W5.5W3.8L4.5W5.4W6.8L6.0L2020-072022-022023-062024-062025-04
WinLossTrend

Johns · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Castaneda · Last 5

Upcoming
Mark Vologdin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

News & Media

Miles Johns · John Castaneda
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