UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
58%
Bannon
42%
Brasil
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bannon
This is a genuine toss-up — Bannon at 58% vs Brasil at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bannon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Bannon throws more volume but Brasil connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Bannon
Brasil
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
65"
Reach
65"
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Bannon
Brasil
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.4
32.6
38.3
Performance Avg
30.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
56
Momentum Score
40
Bannon
Brasil
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
12
8
Body
5
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
19Distance10
0Clinch5
0Ground5
Bannon
Brasil
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bannon
Brasil
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Bannon
Brasil
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bannon
Brasil
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bannon
Brasil
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
BannonBrasil
Strike Zones
Bannon
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedBrasil
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bannon targets the body (42% of attacks) — Brasil absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Brasil targets the head (60% of attacks) — Bannon absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bannon
RND
Brasil
0/0R00/0
Bannon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Brasil · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Bannon · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Nicolle CaliariRating 4.6Submission
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UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Brasil · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexia ThainaraRating 7.1Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 5.9Decision
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Shi MingRating 6.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 5.2Decision
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