UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Welterweight
VS
56%
Njokuani
44%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:19
CFR 45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Njokuani
This is a genuine toss-up — Njokuani at 56% vs Santos at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Njokuani has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Njokuani's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Njokuani
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
73"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Njokuani
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.8
45.3
47.0
Performance Avg
49.3
45
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
45
Njokuani
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
3
Body
2
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance8
1Clinch0
8Ground0
Njokuani
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Njokuani
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
28
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/37 fights
Chin rating based on
18/35 fights
Njokuani
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Njokuani
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
46%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Njokuani
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
NjokuaniSantos
Strike Zones
Njokuani
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSantos
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Njokuani targets the head (61% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Njokuani
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Njokuani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Njokuani · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Carlos LealRating 6.3Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
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Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5KO/TKO
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