Charles Oliveira vs Paul Felder — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2

Detroit, USA

2 Dec 2017

Lightweight

74%

Oliveira

26%

Felder

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 4:06

Charles Oliveira

"Do Bronxs"

37 – 11

5'10"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakPressure Fighter

CFR 63

Paul Felder

"The Irish Dragon"

17 – 6

Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"

CFR 22

★ Official Result

Paul FelderwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:06

def. Charles Oliveira · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Oliveira

→

Actual result

Felder wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Oliveira is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

OliveiraFelder

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Oliveira

Felder

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

+5'11"

74"+

Reach

70"

36+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Oliveira

Felder

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

63.3

21.7

58.6

Performance Avg

49.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

100

Oliveira

Felder

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

5.6

/ 10

8.0

Style: Pressure

5.7

2.7

Style: Volume

4.8

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

0Distance0

1Clinch4

0Ground13

Oliveira

Felder

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.8

/ 10

2.0

/ 10

4.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.4

6.8

Submission Style (/10)

1.1

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Oliveira

Felder

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.2 stoppage

KO round context

—

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

37/48 fights

Chin rating based on

15/23 fights

Oliveira

Felder

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Oliveira

Felder

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

84%

56%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oliveira

Felder

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.6

5.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.0

4.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.4

6.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.1

8.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.7

2.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Oliveira

Strike Zones

Felder

Oliveira

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Felder

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Oliveira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Felder targets the head (82% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oliveira

RND

Felder

0/0R00/0

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Max Holloway

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Sub · R2

Mateusz Gamrot

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

L · KO · R1

Ilia Topuria

KO/TKO

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · Dec · R5

Michael Chandler

Decision

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

L · Dec · R3

Arman Tsarukyan

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Rafael Dos Anjos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11

L · Dec · R5

Dan Hooker

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02

W · Dec · R3

Edson Barboza

Decision

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

W · Dec · R3

James Vick

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02

L · Dec · R3

Mike Perry

Decision

UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

News & Media

Charles Oliveira · Paul Felder

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