METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Lightweight
VS
50%
Holtzman
50%
Patrick
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:42
★ Official Result
Scott HoltzmanwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:42
def. Alan Patrick · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holtzman
→
Actual result
Holtzman wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holtzman at 50% vs Patrick at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Holtzman's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Patrick has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HoltzmanPatrick
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holtzman
Patrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holtzman
Patrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
22.8
40.6
Performance Avg
41.4
32
Quality of Victory
32
53
Momentum Score
58
Holtzman
Patrick
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
3.1
5.7
Style: Volume
7.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
3
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
26Ground0
Holtzman
Patrick
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holtzman
Patrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Holtzman
Patrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holtzman
Patrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holtzman
Patrick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
HoltzmanPatrick
Strike Zones
Holtzman
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedPatrick
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holtzman targets the head (94% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Patrick targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holtzman
RND
Patrick
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holtzman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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