★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Flyweight
VS
49%
Van
51%
Taira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 1:32
Joshua
Joshua Van
"The Fearless"
17 – 2
5'5"65" reachOrthodox24 yrs7-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 68
Tatsuro
Tatsuro Taira
"The Best"
18 – 2
Pressure Fighter26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Taira

This is a genuine toss-up — Van at 49% vs Taira at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Van throws more volume but Taira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Van
Taira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+70"
24+
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Van
Taira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.8
69.7
62.6
Performance Avg
61.0
44
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
100
Van
Taira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.0
1.2
59%
Strike Accuracy
61%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
7
9
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance7
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Van
Taira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Van
Taira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Van
Taira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Van
Taira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Van
Taira
Striking5.8 / 5.3Volume6.6 / 3.6Grappling1.4 / 3.6Wrestling1.0 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure5.5 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Van
Strike Zones
Taira
Van
Attacking
18HEAD9BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Taira
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD9BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Van targets the head (67% of attacks) — Taira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Taira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Van absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Van
RND
Taira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Van · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.9L5.5W4.6W4.7W6.4W5.3W6.3W7.2W2023-062024-072025-032025-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Taira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W5.3W5.9W5.5W5.2W6.4W6.3L7.0W6.1W5.6L2022-052023-072024-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Van · Last 5

W · KO · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

Taira · Last 5

L · KO · R5
Joshua VanRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
HyunSung ParkRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alex PerezRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

News & Media

Joshua Van · Tatsuro Taira
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