Antonio Carlos Junior vs Leonardo Guimaraes

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson

Hidalgo, USA

17 Sept 2016

Middleweight

89%

Junior

11%

Guimaraes

Win Probability

Submission

Round 3 · 4:46

Antonio Carlos Junior

"Cara de Sapato"

11 – 5

6'2"79" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter

CFR 19

Leonardo Guimaraes

"Leleco"

11 – 5

Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox6'0"

CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Junior

Junior is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Junior has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.

Guimaraes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Junior

Guimaraes

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

6'0"

79"

Reach

36+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Junior

Guimaraes

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

19.1

2.4

55.3

Performance Avg

0.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Junior

Guimaraes

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

0.6

1.5

43%

Strike Accuracy

66%

1.2

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.0

0 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance1

0Clinch1

1Ground0

Junior

Guimaraes

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

0.1

Sub Attempts / fight

—

6.4

Grappling Style Score (/10)

0.0

4.5

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

0.0

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Junior

Guimaraes

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

8 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/16 fights

Chin rating based on

2/16 fights

Junior

Guimaraes

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R3

Junior

Guimaraes

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

71%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Junior

Guimaraes

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.0

6.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

4.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

7.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.0

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.0

Junior

Strike Zones

Guimaraes

Junior

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Guimaraes

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Junior targets the head (86% of attacks) — Guimaraes absorbs 86% of strikes there

🎯Guimaraes targets the body (100% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Junior

RND

Guimaraes

0/0R00/0

Junior · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2

WinLossTrend

Guimaraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3

WinLossTrend

Junior · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Brad TavaresRating 5.5

Decision

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

L · Dec · R3

Uriah HallRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

L · Dec · R3

Ian HeinischRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

W · Sub · R1

Tim BoetschRating 5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

W · Sub · R1

Jack MarshmanRating 5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

Guimaraes · Last 2

L · Sub · R3

Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09

L · Dec · R3

Anthony SmithRating 6.7

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

News & Media

Antonio Carlos Junior · Leonardo Guimaraes

← Back to fights