UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
14 Jan 2023
Featherweight
VS
55%
Ige
45%
Jackson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ige
This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 55% vs Jackson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ige has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ige
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ige
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
40.5
46.3
Performance Avg
43.0
42
Quality of Victory
38
53
Momentum Score
59
Ige
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
15
7
Body
6
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance21
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Ige
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
28
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Ige
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Ige
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ige
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
IgeJackson
Strike Zones
Ige
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedJackson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the body (54% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ige
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ige · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Ige · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5Decision
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W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01