UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
39%
Cerrone
61%
Miller
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:31
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'8"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

Miller holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
43.5
53.0
Performance Avg
51.5
47
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
28
Cerrone
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
10 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
5
Body
1
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
17Distance8
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Cerrone
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Cerrone
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
28
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Cerrone
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
71%
10
KO / TKO Wins
6
6
Submission Wins
14
7
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Miller
Striking5.6 / 3.4Volume3.7 / 3.5Grappling2.8 / 4.7Wrestling2.0 / 3.3Submission2.6 / 5.0Pressure6.7 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Miller
Cerrone
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY6LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 absorbed
Miller
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY6LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (39% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 39% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
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L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
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News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Jim Miller
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