METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
San Jose, USA
20 Apr 2013
Middleweight
VS
29%
Starks
71%
Romero
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:32
★ Official Result
Yoel RomerowinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:32
def. Clifford Starks · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romero
→
Actual result
Romero wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Romero is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Romero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Romero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Starks's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StarksRomero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Starks
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
73"
45+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Starks
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.0
24.0
28.3
Performance Avg
56.4
25
Quality of Victory
48
27
Momentum Score
100
Starks
Romero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
1.2
27%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
1
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Starks
Romero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Starks
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
13/18 fights
Starks
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Starks
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Starks
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
StarksRomero
Strike Zones
Starks
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRomero
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Starks targets the head (33% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (50% of attacks) — Starks absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Starks
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Starks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Romero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Starks · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Yoel RomeroRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · Sub · R2
Ed HermanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.9Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Romero · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07