METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Doane
41%
Sanders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RD
Russell Doane
15 – 8
5'7"70" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JS
Jerrod Sanders
"J-Reazie"
16 – 3
Well-Rounded46 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'8"
CFR 12
★ Official Result
Jerrod SanderswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Russell Doane · The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Doane
→
Actual result
Sanders wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Doane at 59% vs Sanders at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Doane has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Doane throws more volume but Sanders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Doane's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DoaneSanders
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Doane
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+72"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Doane
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
11.5
41.9
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
40
Doane
Sanders
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch4
3Ground3
Doane
Sanders
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
1.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Doane
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Doane
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
40
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · R1
Doane
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Doane
Sanders
Striking4.1 / 0.7Volume3.4 / 8.7Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Doane
Strike Zones
Sanders
Doane
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Sanders
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Doane targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the head (50% of attacks) — Doane absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Doane
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Doane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.0L1.5L5.0W4.4L2014-012014-092016-072017-062018-02
WinLossTrend

Sanders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.0L4.5W2.8L2014-072015-072016-07
WinLossTrend

Doane · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Kwan Ho KwakRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Jerrod SandersRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07

Sanders · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Felipe ArantesRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Russell DoaneRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
Upcoming
Pedro Munhoz
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · R1
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07

News & Media

Russell Doane · Jerrod Sanders
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