The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Doane
41%
Sanders
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Doane
This is a genuine toss-up — Doane at 59% vs Sanders at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Doane has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Doane throws more volume but Sanders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Doane's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Doane
Sanders
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+72"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Doane
Sanders
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
11.5
41.9
Performance Avg
28.3
45
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
40
Doane
Sanders
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch4
3Ground3
Doane
Sanders
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
1.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Doane
Sanders
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Doane
Sanders
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
40
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · R1
Doane
Sanders
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Doane
Sanders
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
DoaneSanders
Strike Zones
Doane
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSanders
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Doane targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sanders targets the head (50% of attacks) — Doane absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Doane
RND
Sanders
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Doane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Sanders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Doane · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Kwan Ho KwakRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Jerrod SandersRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
Sanders · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Felipe ArantesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Russell DoaneRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
Upcoming
Pedro MunhozUFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · R1
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07