METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Middleweight
VS
60%
Alvey
40%
Evans
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sam AlveywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rashad Evans · UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvey
→
Actual result
Alvey wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alvey holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Evans has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alvey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Evans has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlveyEvans
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alvey
Evans
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
40+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Alvey
Evans
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
15.3
44.3
Performance Avg
53.1
45
Quality of Victory
46
43
Momentum Score
25
Alvey
Evans
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
8
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance6
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Alvey
Evans
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alvey
Evans
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
23/27 fights
Alvey
Evans
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
25
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Alvey
Evans
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alvey
Evans
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
AlveyEvans
Strike Zones
Alvey
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedEvans
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the head (60% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Evans targets the head (83% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alvey
RND
Evans
0/0R00/0
Alvey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10