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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Flyweight
VS
56%
Benoit
44%
Serrano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RB
Ryan Benoit
"Baby Face"
10 – 8
5'5"68" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 28
FS
Fredy Serrano
"El Profe"
3 – 2
Knockout Artist2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'3"
CFR 21
★ Official Result
Ryan BenoitwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fredy Serrano · UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Benoit
→
Actual result
Benoit wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Benoit at 56% vs Serrano at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Serrano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Benoit has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Benoit's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BenoitSerrano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Benoit
Serrano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
68"+
Reach
65"
36+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Benoit
Serrano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.6
21.3
39.3
Performance Avg
53.0
43
Quality of Victory
55
71
Momentum Score
58
Benoit
Serrano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
26%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
4
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Benoit
Serrano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benoit
Serrano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/5 fights
Benoit
Serrano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
58
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Benoit
Serrano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Benoit
Serrano
Striking7.3 / 10.0Volume3.3 / 1.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Benoit
Strike Zones
Serrano
Benoit
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Serrano
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Benoit targets the head (43% of attacks) — Serrano absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Serrano targets the body (100% of attacks) — Benoit absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Benoit
RND
Serrano
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Benoit · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0102.8L5.2W1.5L4.5W6.4L5.5W6.1L5.6L5.5L2013-112016-072019-122021-07
WinLossTrend

Serrano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L2015-032015-112016-072016-12
WinLossTrend

Benoit · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Zarrukh AdashevRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
W · KO · R3
Ashkan MokhtarianRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12

Serrano · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Hector SandovalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BenoitRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Yao ZhikuiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · KO · R3
Bentley SylerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03

News & Media

Ryan Benoit · Fredy Serrano
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