UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
27 Aug 2011
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Nogueira
45%
Schaub
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:09
AR
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
"Minotauro"
34 – 10
6'3"77" reachOrthodox49 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
BS
Brendan Schaub
"Big Brown"
10 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nogueira

This is a genuine toss-up — Nogueira at 55% vs Schaub at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Schaub throws more volume but Nogueira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Nogueira's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schaub has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nogueira
Schaub
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+78"
49
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nogueira
Schaub
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
15.7
49.3
Performance Avg
49.2
52
Quality of Victory
46
91
Momentum Score
39
Nogueira
Schaub
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
3
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance8
3Clinch3
1Ground0
Nogueira
Schaub
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nogueira
Schaub
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/44 fights
Chin rating based on
11/15 fights
Nogueira
Schaub
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Nogueira
Schaub
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nogueira
Schaub
Striking2.9 / 6.1Volume4.1 / 3.8Grappling4.2 / 2.1Wrestling2.9 / 1.5Submission4.0 / 1.7Pressure5.6 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Nogueira
Strike Zones
Schaub
Nogueira
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Schaub
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (80% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Schaub targets the head (64% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nogueira
RND
Schaub
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nogueira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0104.5W5.2W2.1L4.5W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W2.1L1.5L5.5L2007-072009-082011-122014-042015-08
WinLossTrend

Schaub · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W6.2L1.5L2009-122010-102012-042014-062014-12
WinLossTrend

Nogueira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R2
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Sub · R2
Dave HermanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12

Schaub · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 5
Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lavar JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · KO · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04

News & Media

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira · Brendan Schaub
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