METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Middleweight
VS
47%
Ferreira
53%
Roberson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:45
★ Official Result
Cezar FerreirawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:45
def. Karl Roberson · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberson
→
Actual result
Ferreira wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 47% vs Roberson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ferreira's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberson has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FerreiraRoberson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ferreira
Roberson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
74"
41
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ferreira
Roberson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
18.7
49.5
Performance Avg
38.3
43
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
25
Ferreira
Roberson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
4.7
6.5
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch2
4Ground1
Ferreira
Roberson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferreira
Roberson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Ferreira
Roberson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Ferreira
Roberson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ferreira
Roberson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
FerreiraRoberson
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedRoberson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (80% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Roberson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ferreira
RND
Roberson
0/0R00/0
Ferreira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonSubmission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
Roberson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman KopylovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11