UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Buentello
43%
Eilers
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
PB
Paul Buentello
"The Headhunter"
35 – 17
6'2"77" reachOrthodox52 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 22
JE
Justin Eilers
"The Hammer"
19 – 7
Knockout Artist3-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Buentello

This is a genuine toss-up — Buentello at 57% vs Eilers at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Eilers throws more volume but Buentello connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Buentello's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Eilers has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Buentello
Eilers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
52
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buentello
Eilers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
16.9
53.8
Performance Avg
46.0
56
Quality of Victory
60
85
Momentum Score
36
Buentello
Eilers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
31%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
3
Body
0
7
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance1
3Clinch6
1Ground0
Buentello
Eilers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Buentello
Eilers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/52 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
Buentello
Eilers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Buentello
Eilers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buentello
Eilers
Striking7.7 / 10.0Volume1.0 / 0.5Grappling2.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.9 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Buentello
Strike Zones
Eilers
Buentello
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY7LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY4LEGS7 absorbed
Eilers
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY4LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY7LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buentello targets the head (55% of attacks) — Eilers absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Eilers targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Buentello absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Buentello
RND
Eilers
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Buentello · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W2.2L5.2W5.5L4.0L2005-022005-062005-102006-022009-122010-03
WinLossTrend

Eilers · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0105.0W1.5L2.2L1.5L2004-082005-022005-062006-02
WinLossTrend

Buentello · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Cheick KongoRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
W · KO · R2
Gilbert AldanaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin JordanRating 5
Submission
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

Eilers · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Brandon VeraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R1
Paul BuentelloRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
W · KO · R1
Mike KyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08

News & Media

Paul Buentello · Justin Eilers
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