METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Lightweight
VS
63%
Hernandez
37%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexander HernandezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Trinaldo · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hernandez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Trinaldo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezTrinaldo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
31.7
47.4
Performance Avg
48.6
42
Quality of Victory
35
90
Momentum Score
100
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.1
Style: Volume
6.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
6
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
100
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HernandezTrinaldo
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTrinaldo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the body (55% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · Last 5
Upcoming
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