METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Lightweight
VS
63%
Hernandez
37%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexander HernandezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Trinaldo · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hernandez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Trinaldo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Hernandez throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezTrinaldo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
31.7
47.4
Performance Avg
48.6
42
Quality of Victory
35
90
Momentum Score
100
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
6
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/27 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Trinaldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HernandezTrinaldo
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTrinaldo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the body (55% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hernandez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07