UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Chicago, USA
25 Jul 2015
Lightweight
VS
67%
Barboza
33%
Felder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barboza

Barboza holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Felder has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barboza
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
21.7
46.3
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
42
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Felder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
9 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
5
Body
2
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Barboza
Felder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Barboza
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Barboza
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Felder
Striking6.1 / 5.6Volume5.1 / 4.8Grappling1.2 / 2.0Wrestling0.8 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure5.2 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Barboza
Strike Zones
Felder
Barboza
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY8LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Felder
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY8LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Felder absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (44% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0

Barboza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Felder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Felder · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07

News & Media

Edson Barboza · Paul Felder
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