UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Castaneda
39%
Gafurov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
John
John Castaneda
"Sexi Mexi"
21 – 8
5'6"71" reachSwitch34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Muin
Muin Gafurov
"Tajik"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Castaneda

Castaneda holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Gafurov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Castaneda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Castaneda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Castaneda
Gafurov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
68"
34
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Castaneda
Gafurov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
32.5
43.2
Performance Avg
31.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
71
Momentum Score
35
Castaneda
Gafurov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Castaneda
Gafurov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Castaneda
Gafurov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/29 fights
Chin rating based on
5/27 fights
Castaneda
Gafurov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Castaneda
Gafurov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Castaneda
Gafurov
Striking3.5 / 0.8Volume5.0 / 8.8Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 1.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Castaneda
Strike Zones
Gafurov
Castaneda
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Gafurov
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Castaneda targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gafurov absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gafurov targets the head (73% of attacks) — Castaneda absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Castaneda
RND
Gafurov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Castaneda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.3L5.0W5.5W3.8L4.5W5.4W6.8L6.0L2020-072022-022023-062024-062025-04
WinLossTrend

Gafurov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.3L2.9L5.4W6.2W5.7L2023-062023-102024-062025-012026-02
WinLossTrend

Castaneda · Last 5

Upcoming
Mark Vologdin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

Gafurov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Jakub WiklaczRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R1
Said NurmagomedovRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

News & Media

John Castaneda · Muin Gafurov
← Back to fights