UFC 49: Unfinished Business
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2004
Lightweight
VS
53%
Edwards
47%
Thomson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 53% vs Thomson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards
Thomson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Thomson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
17.0
47.6
Performance Avg
45.1
46
Quality of Victory
47
85
Momentum Score
43
Edwards
Thomson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
1
Body
4
5
Leg
7
RangeRange
1Distance7
8Clinch6
7Ground0
Edwards
Thomson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Thomson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
7/31 fights
Edwards
Thomson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Edwards
Thomson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Thomson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
EdwardsThomson
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedThomson
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (63% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Thomson targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Thomson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Thomson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
Thomson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · Dec · R5
Benson HendersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · KO · R2
Nate DiazRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Yves EdwardsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08