UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka
Las Vegas, USA
1 May 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
32%
Markos
68%
Pinheiro
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pinheiro
Pinheiro holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Markos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Pinheiro throws more volume but Markos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Markos's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pinheiro has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Markos
Pinheiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'2"
63"+
Reach
62"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markos
Pinheiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
35.6
34.0
Performance Avg
33.1
29
Quality of Victory
27
15
Momentum Score
49
Markos
Pinheiro
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
22
6
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance20
5Clinch7
1Ground2
Markos
Pinheiro
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Markos
Pinheiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Markos
Pinheiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
49
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Markos
Pinheiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markos
Pinheiro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
MarkosPinheiro
Strike Zones
Markos
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedPinheiro
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pinheiro absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pinheiro targets the head (76% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markos
RND
Pinheiro
0/0R00/0
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pinheiro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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