METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
89%
Santos
11%
Scroggin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:15
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantoswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:15
def. Zachary Scroggin · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosScroggin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Scroggin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Scroggin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
5.6
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Santos
Scroggin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Santos
Scroggin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Scroggin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Santos
Scroggin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Santos
Scroggin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Scroggin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SantosScroggin
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedScroggin
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Scroggin absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Scroggin targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Scroggin
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Scroggin · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11