METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
89%
Santos
11%
Scroggin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:15
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantoswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:15
def. Zachary Scroggin · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosScroggin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Scroggin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Scroggin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
5.6
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Santos
Scroggin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.7
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Santos
Scroggin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Scroggin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Santos
Scroggin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Santos
Scroggin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Scroggin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SantosScroggin
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedScroggin
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Scroggin absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Scroggin targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Scroggin
0/0R00/0
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Scroggin · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11