UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
89%
Santos
11%
Scroggin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:15
Elizeu
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25 – 10
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Zachary
Zachary Scroggin
7 – 1
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'3"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos
Scroggin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Scroggin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
5.6
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Santos
Scroggin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Santos
Scroggin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Scroggin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Santos
Scroggin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Santos
Scroggin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Scroggin
Striking4.9 / 0.0Volume5.7 / 0.0Grappling2.0 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Santos
Strike Zones
Scroggin
Santos
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY4LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Scroggin
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY4LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Scroggin absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Scroggin targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Scroggin
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W5.2W5.0W4.8L4.5W6.5L6.3W4.5W6.4L5.0W3.9L3.4L2015-052018-052020-072025-032025-08
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Scroggin · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

News & Media

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Zachary Scroggin
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