UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Lightweight
VS
93%
Gantt
7%
Minev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:51
TG
Tommy Gantt
12 – 0
5'11"76" reachOrthodox33 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 81
Artur
Artur Minev
"Headhunter"
7 – 1
Well-Rounded22 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'9"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gantt

Gantt is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 75 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gantt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.

Gantt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gantt
Minev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
69"
33
Age
+22
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gantt
Minev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
80.7
6.2
73.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Gantt
Minev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
0.4
82%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
2
4
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
5Clinch0
15Ground0
Gantt
Minev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Gantt
Minev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Gantt
Minev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gantt
Minev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gantt
Minev
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Gantt
Strike Zones
Minev
Gantt
Attacking
19HEAD4BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Minev
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD4BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gantt targets the head (83% of attacks) — Minev absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Minev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gantt absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gantt
RND
Minev
0/0R00/0

Gantt · Last 1

W · KO · R2
Artur MinevRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

Minev · Last 1

L · KO · R2
Tommy GanttRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

News & Media

Tommy Gantt · Artur Minev
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