METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Las Vegas, USA
16 May 2026
Lightweight
VS
93%
Gantt
7%
Minev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:51
★ Official Result
Tommy GanttwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:51
def. Artur Minev · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gantt
→
Actual result
Gantt wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Gantt is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 75 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gantt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Gantt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GanttMinev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gantt
Minev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
69"
33
Age
+22
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gantt
Minev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
80.7
6.2
73.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Gantt
Minev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
0.4
82%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
2
4
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
5Clinch0
15Ground0
Gantt
Minev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Gantt
Minev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Gantt
Minev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gantt
Minev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gantt
Minev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GanttMinev
Strike Zones
Gantt
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMinev
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gantt targets the head (83% of attacks) — Minev absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Minev targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gantt absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gantt
RND
Minev
0/0R00/0
Gantt · Last 1
W · KO · R2
Artur MinevRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
Minev · Last 1
L · KO · R2
Tommy GanttRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05