UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fresno, USA
9 Dec 2017
Middleweight
VS
75%
Anders
25%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anders
Anders is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anders
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
39
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anders
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
17.1
45.4
Performance Avg
42.5
41
Quality of Victory
52
79
Momentum Score
39
Anders
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
5Clinch1
16Ground1
Anders
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Anders
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
39
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Anders
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
AndersPerez
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedPerez
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (92% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (33% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Chris WeidmanRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08