METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Featherweight
VS
18%
Corassani
82%
Holloway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:11
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:11
def. Akira Corassani · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Corassani's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CorassaniHolloway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Corassani
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+69"
44
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Corassani
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.6
56.9
36.0
Performance Avg
57.7
27
Quality of Victory
48
55
Momentum Score
63
Corassani
Holloway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.3
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
25
1
Body
4
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance20
1Clinch4
0Ground7
Corassani
Holloway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Corassani
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
52
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Corassani
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Corassani
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
54%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Corassani
Holloway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
CorassaniHolloway
Strike Zones
Corassani
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedHolloway
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Corassani targets the head (73% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (81% of attacks) — Corassani absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Corassani
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Corassani · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Sam SiciliaKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · R1
Maximo BlancoThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04