METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Middleweight
VS
27%
Souza
73%
Muniz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:59
★ Official Result
Andre MunizwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:59
def. Jacare Souza · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Muniz
→
Actual result
Muniz wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Muniz is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Souza's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Muniz has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SouzaMuniz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Souza
Muniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
72"
Reach
+78"
46
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Souza
Muniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
53.7
54.6
Performance Avg
47.7
53
Quality of Victory
40
56
Momentum Score
92
Souza
Muniz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
5.3
2.0
Style: Volume
5.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
4
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance6
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Souza
Muniz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Souza
Muniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
22
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/36 fights
Chin rating based on
10/32 fights
Souza
Muniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
92
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Souza
Muniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Muniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
SouzaMuniz
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMuniz
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (45% of attacks) — Muniz absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Muniz targets the head (43% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Muniz
0/0R00/0
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizSubmission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanKO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
Muniz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02