UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
Chicago, USA
28 Jan 2012
Featherweight
VS
83%
Swanson
17%
Roop
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swanson
Swanson is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roop has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Swanson
Roop
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+72"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Roop
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
9.4
48.8
Performance Avg
37.0
40
Quality of Victory
36
56
Momentum Score
0
Swanson
Roop
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
6
Body
2
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance8
3Clinch1
7Ground0
Swanson
Roop
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Roop
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Swanson
Roop
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Swanson
Roop
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
8
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Roop
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
SwansonRoop
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedRoop
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (55% of attacks) — Roop absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Roop targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Roop
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Roop · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Roop · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Dustin KimuraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R2
Brian BowlesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05