METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
45%
Pedro
55%
Bukauskas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak32 yrsSwitch76" reach6'3"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Modestas BukauskaswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tyson Pedro · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bukauskas
→
Actual result
Bukauskas wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pedro at 45% vs Bukauskas at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pedro has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Pedro's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bukauskas has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PedroBukauskas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pedro
Bukauskas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Pedro
Bukauskas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
55.8
56.6
Performance Avg
51.0
58
Quality of Victory
42
65
Momentum Score
94
Pedro
Bukauskas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.8
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
8.6
Style: Pressure
5.8
1.1
Style: Volume
4.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
16
10
Body
5
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance14
5Clinch9
0Ground0
Pedro
Bukauskas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pedro
Bukauskas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
10
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Pedro
Bukauskas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
94
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pedro
Bukauskas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
56%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pedro
Bukauskas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
PedroBukauskas
Strike Zones
Pedro
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBukauskas
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pedro targets the body (53% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (70% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pedro
RND
Bukauskas
0/0R00/0
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
Harry HunsuckerKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaKO/TKO
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Bukauskas · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Oumar SyKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Paul CraigKO/TKO
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