UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Middleweight
VS
63%
Quarry
37%
Carter
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Quarry
Quarry holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Carter has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Quarry has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Quarry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Quarry's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Carter has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Quarry
Carter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
54
Age
54
Open Stance
Stance
Southpaw
Quarry
Carter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
13.2
57.1
Performance Avg
41.0
49
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
25
Quarry
Carter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
40%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
2
4
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance3
6Clinch3
6Ground0
Quarry
Carter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Quarry
Carter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/82 fights
Quarry
Carter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R2
Quarry
Carter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quarry
Carter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
QuarryCarter
Strike Zones
Quarry
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCarter
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quarry targets the head (79% of attacks) — Carter absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Carter targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Quarry absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quarry
RND
Carter
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Quarry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Carter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Quarry · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Tim CredeurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Sub · R1
Demian MaiaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
W · Dec · R3
Kalib StarnesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
Carter · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R2
Pat MiletichRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06
W · KO · R3
Matt SerraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
W · Dec · R2
Adrian SerranoRating 4.2Decision
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06