METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Welterweight
VS
74%
Covington
26%
Woodley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 1:19
★ Official Result
Colby CovingtonwinsKO/TKOR5 · 1:19
def. Tyron Woodley · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Covington
→
Actual result
Covington wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Covington is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Covington's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Woodley has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CovingtonWoodley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Covington
Woodley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+74"
38+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Covington
Woodley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.0
19.4
53.2
Performance Avg
58.9
42
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
40
Covington
Woodley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
6.5
6.1
Style: Volume
3.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Covington
Woodley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Covington
Woodley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/22 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Covington
Woodley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Covington
Woodley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Covington
Woodley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
CovingtonWoodley
Strike Zones
Covington
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedWoodley
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Covington targets the body (50% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Woodley targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Covington absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Covington
RND
Woodley
0/0R00/0
Covington · Last 5
L · R3
Joaquin BuckleyUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
W · KO · R5
Tyron WoodleyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillSubmission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09