METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Las Vegas, USA
29 Apr 2023
Flyweight
VS
39%
Durden
61%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cody DurdenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Durden wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Durden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Durden's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DurdenJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Durden
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Durden
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
57.5
37.6
Performance Avg
48.2
34
Quality of Victory
43
54
Momentum Score
96
Durden
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
4.8
6.6
Style: Volume
5.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
15
5
Body
6
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance21
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Durden
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Durden
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
16/27 fights
Durden
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
96
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Durden
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Durden
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
DurdenJohnson
Strike Zones
Durden
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (73% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Durden
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
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