UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Las Vegas, USA
29 Apr 2023
Flyweight
VS
41%
Durden
59%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cody
Cody Durden
"Custom Made"
18 – 10
5'7"67" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19 – 8
Well-Rounded35 yrsSwitch70" reach5'9"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Durden at 41% vs Johnson at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Durden's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Durden
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Durden
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
53.8
38.8
Performance Avg
48.4
34
Quality of Victory
43
54
Momentum Score
75
Durden
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
15
5
Body
6
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance21
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Durden
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Durden
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Durden
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
75
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Durden
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Durden
Johnson
Striking2.4 / 4.9Volume6.7 / 6.1Grappling2.9 / 1.5Wrestling2.0 / 1.1Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure3.4 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Durden
Strike Zones
Johnson
Durden
Attacking
16HEAD5BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD5BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (73% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Durden
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0

Durden · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.0L5.3W2.9L5.0W4.5W5.4W5.2W3.8L3.6L5.4W7.1L3.7L4.3L6.6L5.6W2020-122022-102024-072025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.9L4.5W5.5W6.3L5.6L6.1L4.5W5.2W7.1W5.1W7.3L6.0W2.8L5.4W2022-072023-042024-072026-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Durden · Last 5

Upcoming
Ode Osbourne
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Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R2
Allan NascimentoRating 4.3
Submission
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L · KO · R2
Jose OchoaRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

Johnson · Last 5

Upcoming
Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3
Decision
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News & Media

Cody Durden · Charles Johnson
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