UFC 3: The American Dream
Charlotte, USA
9 Sept 1994
Open Weight
VS
89%
Howard
11%
Payne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Howard
Howard is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Howard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Howard throws more volume but Payne connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Howard
Payne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
—
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Howard
Payne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.6
2.2
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Howard
Payne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
65%
Strike Accuracy
75%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
4Clinch1
4Ground0
Howard
Payne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Howard
Payne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/4 fights
Chin rating based on
1 fights
Howard
Payne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Howard
Payne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Payne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HowardPayne
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedPayne
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Payne absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Payne targets the body (67% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Payne
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Howard · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Mark HallRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 7: The Brawl in Buffalo · 1995-09
L · KO · R1
Steve JennumRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 3: The American Dream · 1994-09
W · KO · R1
Roland PayneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 3: The American Dream · 1994-09
Payne · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Harold HowardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 3: The American Dream · 1994-09