UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
62%
Cerrone
38%
Martins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
AM
Adriano Martins
28 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cerrone

Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Martins has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Martins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Martins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
17.1
53.0
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
49
63
Momentum Score
30
Cerrone
Martins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
10 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
6
Body
0
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cerrone
Martins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Martins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
7/37 fights
Cerrone
Martins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
30
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cerrone
Martins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
75%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Martins
Striking5.6 / 6.1Volume3.7 / 3.1Grappling2.8 / 2.6Wrestling2.0 / 1.8Submission2.6 / 2.5Pressure6.7 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Martins
Cerrone
Attacking
2HEAD6BODY8LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Martins
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD6BODY8LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Martins targets the head (85% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Martins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Martins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W1.5L5.0W4.5W7.0W5.6L4.0L2013-112014-072015-102017-09
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Martins · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Juan Manuel PuigRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Adriano Martins
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