METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Chicago, USA
25 Jan 2014
Lightweight
VS
62%
Cerrone
38%
Martins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
★ Official Result
Donald CerronewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:40
def. Adriano Martins · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerrone
→
Actual result
Cerrone wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Martins has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerroneMartins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerrone
Martins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Martins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
17.1
53.0
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
49
63
Momentum Score
30
Cerrone
Martins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
10 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
6
Body
0
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cerrone
Martins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Martins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
7/37 fights
Cerrone
Martins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
30
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Cerrone
Martins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
75%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerrone
Martins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
CerroneMartins
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedMartins
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Martins targets the head (85% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerrone
RND
Martins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cerrone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Martins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2Submission
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L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5KO/TKO
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Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
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Martins · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Juan Manuel PuigRating 5KO/TKO
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