★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
54%
Adesanya
46%
Whittaker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Israel
Israel Adesanya
"The Last Stylebender"
24 – 6
6'4"80" reachSwitch36 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Adesanya

This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 54% vs Whittaker at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Whittaker has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Adesanya
Whittaker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
73"
36
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Adesanya
Whittaker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
53.4
61.2
Performance Avg
56.0
56
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
71
Adesanya
Whittaker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
2
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance8
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Adesanya
Whittaker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Whittaker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
25/36 fights
Adesanya
Whittaker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Adesanya
Whittaker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
35%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Adesanya
Whittaker
Striking5.2 / 5.0Volume6.3 / 6.6Grappling1.5 / 1.6Wrestling1.0 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Adesanya
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Adesanya
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY4LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Whittaker
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY4LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (54% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Whittaker targets the head (90% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Adesanya
RND
Whittaker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Adesanya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.3W4.5W5.3W4.5W4.8W6.0W4.5W6.1W6.1L5.3W5.4W5.5W6.1L7.2W6.6L5.3L3.6L4.2L2018-022019-042021-062023-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Adesanya · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Israel Adesanya · Robert Whittaker
← Back to fights