METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Sydney, Australia
20 Feb 2010
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Velasquez
43%
Nogueira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:20
AR
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Cain VelasquezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:20
def. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira · UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Velasquez
→
Actual result
Velasquez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Velasquez at 57% vs Nogueira at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Velasquez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nogueira has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VelasquezNogueira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Velasquez
Nogueira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
77"
44+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Nogueira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
19.4
69.4
Performance Avg
49.3
62
Quality of Victory
52
100
Momentum Score
91
Velasquez
Nogueira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.9
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
8.2
Style: Pressure
5.6
2.9
Style: Volume
4.1
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
1
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance3
2Clinch0
5Ground0
Velasquez
Nogueira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Velasquez
Nogueira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
8
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Velasquez
Nogueira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Velasquez
Nogueira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
60%
10
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
Nogueira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
VelasquezNogueira
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNogueira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (70% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Nogueira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
Nogueira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneKO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveDecision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R2
Fabricio WerdumSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Sub · R2
Dave HermanSubmission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirSubmission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12