UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
18 May 2013
Flyweight
VS
52%
Formiga
48%
Cariaso
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JF
Jussier Formiga
23 – 8
5'5"67" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
CC
Chris Cariaso
"Kamikaze"
17 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsSouthpaw64" reach5'3"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Formiga

This is a genuine toss-up — Formiga at 52% vs Cariaso at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cariaso has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cariaso has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Formiga
Cariaso
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
67"+
Reach
64"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Formiga
Cariaso
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
14.0
42.7
Performance Avg
39.1
34
Quality of Victory
29
64
Momentum Score
45
Formiga
Cariaso
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
0
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch5
0Ground9
Formiga
Cariaso
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Formiga
Cariaso
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/25 fights
Formiga
Cariaso
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Formiga
Cariaso
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Formiga
Cariaso
Striking1.1 / 2.5Volume6.5 / 7.9Grappling4.3 / 2.1Wrestling3.0 / 1.4Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Formiga
Strike Zones
Cariaso
Formiga
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Cariaso
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Cariaso absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cariaso targets the head (71% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Formiga
RND
Cariaso
0/0R00/0

Formiga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W7.0L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.6W2.8L6.4L2.8L2012-102014-082017-032019-032020-06
WinLossTrend

Cariaso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W2.1L7.0L5.5L2011-012012-072014-022015-10
WinLossTrend

Formiga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Cariaso · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Jussier Formiga · Chris Cariaso
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